[ad_1]
Five-star red flags line Nanjing Road pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, on June 22, 2021. This year marks the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China.
Cost photo | Barcroft Media | Getty Images
GUANGZHOU, China Chinese authorities have passed a slew of legislation in recent months, largely targeting the technology sector, a move that has terrified investors and wiped billions of dollars in value from the country’s internet giants.
The legislative assault began in November last year when the massive IPO of billionaire Jack Ma’s financial technology company Ant Group was suspended.
Since then, regulators have introduced anti-monopoly legislation targeting the so-called “platform economy,” which generally refers to internet companies offering a variety of services, from e-commerce to food delivery. Regulations also focused on strengthening critical data security and protection laws.
As a result, high-profile tech companies have faced investigations and punishments.
E-commerce titan Alibaba was fined $2.8 billion in an anti-monopoly investigation, and largest ride-hailing company Didi was forced to suspend user registrations as regulators conduct a cybersecurity investigation of the company just days after the American listing.
But with most of the major legislation passed and the visibility of corporate demands growing, investors are now wondering if it’s time to jump into Chinese technology stocks.
Still, sentiment remains mixed.
“I view current sentiment toward Chinese technology stocks, at least among English-speaking investors, as divided between two extremes: those who see types of regulatory changes/risks as an example of why they won’t invest in Chinese stocks versus other investors who see this. as a buying opportunity in higher-quality Chinese names whose actual future earnings will be affected much less than the size of this year’s sell-off,” Tariq Dennison, asset manager at Hong Kong-based GFM Asset Management, told CNBC.
So what are the future risks for investors in Chinese technology stocks?
Regulatory uncertainty
Although China has passed many selection laws, there is still a risk that the market will be taken by surprise, leading to uncertainty.
“Since the initial response to Ant Group’s IPO, the wave of new regulations has accelerated,” Brian Bandsma, emerging markets equity manager and Asia-Pacific portfolio manager at Vontobel Quality Growth, told CNBC. “At the time and in the weeks that followed, there was no indication that this was going to expand in so many different directions. Every time it seemed like we were nearing the end, something new was coming.”
There is now some calm in the Chinese markets due to the lack of negative news. However, confidence is now extremely fragile.
Dave Wang
portfolio manager, NuvestCapital
“So I’d say it’s risky right now to bet the worst is over,” he said.
“Policy uncertainty remains [in] the vanguard. There is now some calm in the Chinese markets due to the lack of negative news. However, confidence is now extremely fragile,” Dave Wang, portfolio manager at NuvestCapital, told CNBC.
“So, if the Chinese authorities continue to publish bits and pieces of negative news and worse some other unexpected policy, we could see another sell-off.”
Geopolitics
Chinese tech companies have been embroiled in the geopolitical battle between the US and China since the administration of President Donald Trump.
One risk is that “foreign governments will impose more sanctions on Chinese stocks,” said Dennison of GFM Asset Management.
Meanwhile, Chinese companies listed on US stock exchanges may face stricter listing and auditing rules.
Gary Gensler, the chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)told Bloombergthis week that Chinese companies already listed in the US should better inform investors about regulatory and political risks.
Many US-listed Chinese companies, including Alibaba and Baidu, conducted secondary listings in Hong Kong to hedge against these risks.
Change in business models
There are also concerns that technology companies will have to change their business practices before the groundbreaking policies take effect. Such regulations include data collection practices, online content and the use of algorithms to target users.
When Alibaba was fined in an anti-monopoly investigation earlier this year, regulators said they were investigating a practice that forces merchants to choose one of two ecommerce platforms, rather than letting them work with both. The Chinese market regulator said the practice is stifling competition.
“Companies will certainly have to be much more careful with certain activities,” says Bandsma of Vontobel.
“Acquisitions, especially of companies that could be seen as a threat to competition, will be scrutinized more closely. Demonstrating price power, especially among small merchants or consumers, will be more difficult to implement.”
But it’s still unclear whether this could have a meaningful impact on business models and ultimately profits.
Where are the Chinese tech giants?
In the short term, speed bumps could be lurking for Chinese internet companies.
Ultimately, analysts said, these tech giants, who have a history of adapting quickly to new regulatory environments, will be able to handle the whole raft of new regulations.
“The more diversified behemoths know better than anyone how to deal with new data regulations, and how to switch to different ways to monetize their users than anyone else,” Dennison said. “On the bright side, more Chinese regulations will further protect Chinese tech companies from any future foreign competition.”
Such regulation could also provide an opportunity for long-term and short-term investors.
“There are a number of companies that have extremely strong foundations and can play the long game. Regulations are broad and will eventually raise barriers to entry as well. Investors with patient capital will benefit greatly from choosing the right one,” Nuvest Capital’s Wang said , referring to long-term capital.
“Professional traders with a much shorter maturity can also benefit from the volatility and volatility premiums that come with it.”
However, one expert warned that regulatory uncertainty could mean foreign capital is less willing to fund Chinese tech companies. SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son said this month that the company would cut back on new investments in China.
“What would that mean in terms of the continued continued competitiveness of China’s technology industry, or even other industries, if foreign capitals become increasingly aware of the risks associated with it, and then they are now pulling back?” Charles Mok, founder of Tech For Good Asia, a tech advocacy group, told CNBC’s “Beyond the Valley” podcast.
“I think that’s a concern in the long run.”
|
Sources 2/ https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/30/china-tech-crackdown-experts-warn-on-the-risks-ahead-for-stocks.html The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article |
[ad_2]