Bitcoin ‘supercycle’ tops BTC prices in Q4 as illiquid supply hits record high

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Bitcoin (BTC) is gearing up for a comeback that should lead it to repeat the years 2013 and 2017, analysts say.

As local highs of $ 42,400 appeared on July 31, market narratives point to a bullish Bitcoin “supercycle”.

The bulls come out for 2021 close

Bitcoin has been busy repairing the impact of the rout of Chinese miners since mid-May, but last week’s price hikes have been bigger than expected

Related: Bitcoin’s Open Interest Mimics Q4 2020 As New Cautiously Bullish Report On BTC Rally

Rather than taking a serious dip, BTC price action has held onto its gains, which at the time of writing total 23% in one week.

What seemed nearly impossible just seven days ago is now the flavor of the month among a growing section of the analytical community.

History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes with #bitcoin. A repeat would be a big blow for the fourth quarter. New ATHs in 2022 seem more likely. The super cycle / last cycle will depend on what happens in 2023 IMO. https://t.co/07Ryn3pcTf

ChartsBTC (@ChartsBtc) July 31, 2021

“After three troubling months of news and price developments, bitcoin printed five monthly green candles in a row and rose about 10 times in the second half of 2013,” said Jeff Ross, founder and CEO of Vailshire Capital, on Twitter. comments Saturday.

“I still maintain that 2021 will behave the same way.” 1-month BTC / USD annotated candle chart. Source: Jeff Ross / Twitter

With its latest rise, BTC / USD broke its 21-week exponential moving average, which analyst Rekt Capital described as a “time-tested bull market indicator.”

The supply shock is back

While Ross added that such a prediction was “just a guess,” he has a growing number of chain indicators to back him up.

The hash rate is back above 100 exahashs per second (EH / s) after hitting a low at 83 EH / s, while the difficulty saw its first positive readjustment since the May price crash on Saturday.

Investor behavior more closely mimics the change in sentiment. Big hodlers with little to no history of selling their BTC are now back in control at levels never seen before and absent since Bitcoin’s current record of $ 64,500 in April.

“It’s very optimistic,” summed up Lex Moskovski, chief investment officer of Moskovsky Capital, alongside a Glassnode chart. This showed Hodler’s belief in terms of an increasing amount of the BTC supply becoming illiquid taken off the market.

Annotated graph of the illiquid supply of Bitcoin. Source: Lex Moskovski / Twitter

“Bitcoin’s ‘supply shock’ is now at levels that previously valued Bitcoin at $ 53,000,” commented analyst William Clemente on the same data.

“Consolidation after 10 consecutive green days is very reasonable but remains bullish for the next few weeks.”

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