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Bitcoin [BTC] hit its 2022 rock bottom on 18 June when it went below $17,700. Since then, the number one cryptocurrency has gone up and down the charts. However, BTC has only surged stronger and did not reach such levels again, spending most of its days above $20,000.
Now, there could be another side to the BTC price movement. According to a CryptoQuant analyst, Tom Hanar, BTC is close to hitting the bottomhe cited that his one-third almost at it.
How has this happened?
Based on the analysis by Hanar, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) has spent three months at neutral levels.
Hanar continued by pointing out that the Long Term Holders (LTH) output profit ratio within the 20 SMA revealed that the bottom suggested a one-third reach. He mentioned that the situation was likely to the 2018/2019 bear-bull market switch. Hanar said,
As far as the indicator’s 20 day MA smoothing line in technical terms is concerned, between 10th and 14th july we’ve seen what looks to be a bounce off of 2020 actual LTH SOPR low, coincidentally not too far off the 0.49 level, which represented the very lows of both 2015 as well as 2018/2019 cyclical bottoms
While the analysis might have suggested that investors can start buying, Hanar emphasized the need to be cautious. He noted that it was possible to see another fall below $20,000 before a guaranteed uptick above it.
Who else agrees?
Earlier, Glassnode suggests that the bear market was not entirely over. So are other indicators in synchronization with Hanars projections?
According to the BTC chart, the current market was still neutral as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in blue and 50 EMA (yellow) were at almost the same level. With this trend, short-term traders may want to observe where the next BTC moves.
Source: TradingView
In the longer time frame, the 200 EMA (cyan) showed signs of an uptrend and maintained a position only below the BTC price of $22,500. This position may mean Hanar’s BTC price prediction could be a reality.
At press time, BTC was trading at 23,176 as per CoinMarketCap. With a 1.09% uptick, buying more BTC could be risky as long-term investors’ preference to wait and observe could pay off.
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Sources 2/ https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-btc-long-term-investor-heres-what-you-can-do/ The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article |
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