Why Joe Biden Should Want Donald Trump to Run Again

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With President Joe Biden expected to run again in 2024, the prospect of another clash with former President Donald Trump is looming.

While some Democrats may want Trump to disappear entirely from the political landscape, there is an argument as to why they and Biden should really hope that he will be the GOP candidate again.

Although some pollsters and bookmakers have tipped in favor of Trump in case there is another clash between the pair — running against the former president, or an acolyte of his, could prove a tactical boost. for Biden in some ways.

Biden’s approval poll numbers have dropped and he could be harder to sell to the American public by 2024 if his issues don’t subside.

If Biden’s popularity makes it difficult to garner votes for himself, he might be better off driving action against an opponent. Trump continues to be a divisive figure and could prove the perfect opponent for such a plan.

Speaking to Newsweek, David Andersen, associate professor of U.S. politics at Durham University, said he had some reservations about whether Biden would actually run — but said that regardless of that decision, Democrats should want to be with Trump in racing to the next release.

“Regardless of Biden’s decision, Democrats want, or should want, Trump to run again. Democrats have twice won the national popular vote with Trump on the ticket, and in 2020 they won the Electoral College in by playing new states.They should trust that President Biden can run against Trump by changing their styles and presidency and showing that Biden is the better option.Although Trump has a focus base that is likely to support him, it’s hard to see where he picks up votes in 2024, ”Andersen said.

“His base is largely made up of shrinking demographics, who are currently hardest hit by COVID and have adopted a strategy of insulting and insulting anyone who asks Trump. Although it keeps the base strong , it limits Trump’s appeal to potential new voters. “

Andersen also suggested that whoever runs for the GOP is more likely to tie in with Trump, even if it’s not the man himself — again showing a space for Democrats to expose.

“Fortunately for Democrats and President Biden, Trump has maintained a tight grip on the GOP. Even if he eventually decides not to run — and I also think there’s a strong chance of that — he’ll probably help. Trump to choose his successor, ”Andersen said.

“A moderate, respectful GOP candidate is likely to challenge Biden’s appeal to centered or poorly aligned voters. But Trump is likely to favor, if not himself, someone who will continue his style and campaigns by worshiping Trump and his legacy. That should make Biden’s path easier for re -election. “

Clodagh Harrington, associate professor of American Politics at De Montfort University, also agreed that there could be some advantages for Biden in a rematch — although he also pointed out areas where Trump could have strength.

“Donald Trump is definitely the devil that Joe Biden knows and that gives Biden an advantage,” Harrington said.

However, he pointed to Trump’s disposal funds and his capabilities along the campaign path.

“Trump has a war chest of $ 100million+ and has shown his prowess on the campaign trail, so he can still be a formidable opponent if he runs,” Harrington said.

Running against Trump will make the competition more direct for Biden, because Trump is “easy to demonize,” and even if Biden chooses not to campaign negatively, “others can do that for him.”

Harrington also suggested that Biden needs to resist Trump’s style, “which has become as important (more important!) Than substance.”

“Trump specializes in throwing sand in the eyes of the voter and controlling the narrative,” Harrington said.

Thomas Gift, founding director of University College London’s Center on U.S. Politics, also highlighted Trump’s strengths — and suggested that it was unclear whether it would be good or bad for Biden to face his former opponent again — but also expressed some benefit for Biden if they. will face again.

Gift suggested that there might be help mobilizing Democrats if it were against Trump — and added that while Trump has rallied enthusiasm in certain quarters, that has also had a reward.

“It’s hard to say whether the possibility of re -electing Biden will be better or worse if Trump runs again. There is no such thing as a ‘generic’ opponent, so eventually it will come to who the alternative Republican is,” he said. said Gift.

“No other GOP contender is likely to match the enthusiasm that Trump could generate on the conservative base. At the same time, another candidate — even one with Trumpist tendencies — will almost certainly have a better chance of winning. swing and moderate voters.

“If Trump doesn’t run, a potential concern for Democrats is that it could prevent left -wing mobilization. In some sense, there is a belief that if Trump’s name is on the ballot, the future of American democracy will be taken away. in 2024. Democratic turnout will be easier to activate in that environment. “

As the discussion about a rematch continues, however, Andersen of Durham University suggested that Biden may still not be 100 percent in the dispute next time.

“President Biden’s announcement that he’s looking for a second term is a big one — but I still don’t think he’s 100 percent likely to do that,” Andersen said.

“The fall in Biden’s approval ratings has put him in a weak political position in Washington as to how he needs to unite his party on the Build Back Better bill. Psaki’s announcement about his commitment to running in 2024 is more of a signal to his own party that he is still the face of the party and the political future of the Democrats is currently in his hands.

“By promising to run again, he reminded them that if they run away from him, or weaken his agenda, the president may not stand with them in 2022, and 2024 may see them lose the presidency. I still believe that. President Biden won’t really make a decision on re -election until early to mid -2023. “

The poll suggested a tight run for Biden if he goes for a second term, with some showing him down to major swing states if it is him against Trump.

For Trump, the poll suggested he was still the favorite for the GOP nomination next time, and he hinted strongly at going for it — although he refused to wholeheartedly commit to a bid. He spoke about his own confidence to win the nomination if he should do so.

Newsweek contacted the White House and Democratic National Committee for comment.

This combination of photos taken on October 22, 2020 shows then -US President Donald Trump (L) and then Democratic Presidential candidate Joe Biden at the last presidential debate at Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee, on October 22, 2020 . (Photos by Brendan Smialowski and JIM WATSON/AFP) (Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images) BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images

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