Trump has one eye on elections overseas even as the midterms approach

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Trumps warned about world war stemming from US policy towards Taiwan, he entertained Hungarys Viktor Orban at his club in New Jersey, and talked longingly about his relationship with Kim Jong-Un as the North Korean leader fired ballistic missiles over Japan.

His allies say its part of building his own political brand.

The presidents endorsement isnt just a kind of quirky screw you to the media and global institutions, it has a big effect with grassroots voters. His voice plays largely in a lot of countries, said Matt Schlapp, president of the American Conservative Union. I’ve talked to him about this three or four times and I don’t know if he fully understands that he has this kind of non-traditional audience in the US but it is also overseas.

Trump has long had an affinity for strongmen in far-off countries, going back to his days before becoming president. But his continued fascination with and support for them threatens to further complicate the Republican Party’s search for a cohesive foreign policy doctrine.

Those close to Trump say he views his interest and involvement in foreign elections as a natural extension of his relationships from the White House and his long held efforts to flex political power back home.

Its real, his endorsement is looked for as much as a politician here, said Steve Bannon, Trumps former White House strategist. He knows these people personally whereas he doesn’t have the hangers-on at Mar-a-Lago that are getting paid to deliver endorsements to House and Senate candidates. President Trump is looked at as the leader in that movement.

But Trump’s relationships with strongmen leaders also carry significant risks. He faced early criticism for his reluctance to rebuke Russian President Vladimir Putin over the war in Ukraine. And he has been eager to host events at his club that are sponsored by the Saudi-backed LIV tour golf tournament, despite widespread condemnation that it is the regimes effect to obscure its terrible humanitarian record.

His correspondence with Kim Jong-Un has reportedly been one of the facets that has embroiled him in one of his main legal dramas. Trump is believed to have kept the letters the North Korean leader sent to him, despite requests for the National Archives for them to be turned over under the Presidential Records Act. New York Times reporter and author of Confidence Man Maggie Haberman wrote that Trump demurred when asked about any communication with the North Korean leader, something he has been known to brag about to members at Mar-a-Lago.

Trump is a budding authoritarian and he feels a natural affinity with other actual or aspiring authoritarians abroad. Some call it the Illiberal International, said Max Boot, a foreign policy expert who advised Republican presidential campaigns. They are united by their embrace of nationalism and xenophobia and rejection of liberal democracy, science, and even reason. The foreign authoritarians learn from Trump and he learns from them. Its a disturbing dynamic that is doing much to undermine democracy around the world.

Trump has been unbowed by the critics. He has defended his relationships and endorsements on the grounds that its an extension of a brand of foreign policy realism. And his team notes that he is shaping the GOP around his worldviews. Top voices in the conservative media ecosystem, for instance, have come to forcefully criticize the US commitments to Ukraine.

But there are personal political benefits Trump seeks as well. During the 2020 election, he was supported by Bolsonaro, Orban, and Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte. He infamously asked Ukrainian leadership for dirt on Joe Biden. Four years prior, his son, Don Jr. said he welcomed dirt on Hillary Clinton from Russian sources. But aides insist that the relationships are not simply transactional but built on something more intimate.

I think its a personal friendship. When Ive discussed it with President Trump, he has a great affinity for leaders who are willing to stand up against the media elites around the world, who are independent minded and he said these people can put their people first, said former Trump adviser Jason Miller , who now runs social media platform GETTR and has promoted the platform abroad, including in Brazil. He told me its the go alone to get along crowd.

Trumps approach would have been largely unrecognizable in Republican circles not so long ago. Past party leaders boasted about their sternness to dictators and autocrats, even as they often cut deals with them. Those veins still exist. Top GOP congressional leaders have praised President Biden for his handling of the invasion of Ukraine and there is little to no appetite within the party to soften America’s approach to China. Trump’s own former secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, made a second trip to Taiwan this summer where he warned China against further aggression towards the island country.

But the influence of Trumpism is still unmistakable its evident abroad. In Brazil, Trump has served as an inspiration for Bolsonaro often called the Trump of the Tropics who has spent months of his campaign fueling distrust in Brazil’s elections; while Orban has echoed the ex-president in speeches where he rails against the media, illegal immigration, and compares liberal progressives to communism.

But its been felt at home, too. The Conservative Political Action Conference often cited as the hotbed of youth activism in the party has become almost a mirror reflection of the 45th president’s approach. The group has held conferences in Brazil, Israel, Japan, Australia and Hungary and plans to hold another conference in Mexico this November. In his most recent gathering back home, Orban was a keynote speaker and received a certifiable hero’s welcome. It drew condemnation from certain quarters, over Orban’s anti-democratic bent. But CPAC simply reveled in not bending to GOP orthodoxy.

When we go to Brazil, the Bolsonaro family is featured, said Schlapp who just returned from CPAC Australia. We went to Hungary and Orban is featured. CPAC is not usually affiliated with one politician and party and its the same role we play in America. As chummy as we like to be with Republicans we are sometimes a bur in their saddle. Its an uncomfortable role but one we play.

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