Almost half of voters do not support Biden, Trump

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More than 17 months before the 2024 presidential election, voters have a better idea of ​​which candidates they will definitely not vote for than which candidates they will support, according to a new Monmouth University poll.

What You Need to Know More than 17 months before the 2024 presidential election, voters have a better idea of ​​which candidates they will definitely not vote for than which candidates they will support, according to a new Monmouth University poll. opinion. shift,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute Just under half of voters 46% to 48% said they would definitely not vote for Biden in hypothetical matchups against Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis and Mike Pence, with another 7% to 8% saying they are unlikely to vote for the incumbent president The percentage of voters who have already judged Trump against Biden is about the same, according to the poll.

The poll, released Thursday, asked voters about the likelihood they would support a particular candidate in three hypothetical general-election matchups. All three scenarios include President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee. Those surveyed were asked about Biden facing former President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former Vice President Mike Pence, all Republicans.

The purpose of the poll is to measure each candidate’s floor and ceiling.

Negative opinion can be hard to shift, and when it does it tends to be in the wrong direction for the candidate, said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. That’s not to say these views won’t change over the next year and a half, but these results are a sign of how few voters are truly caught up in our highly partisan political environment.

Less than half of voters 46% to 48% said they would definitely not vote for Biden in any of the three matchups, with another 7% to 8% saying they would probably not vote for the current president.

Thirty-two percent said they would definitely support and 13% said they would probably support Biden over Trump. Support for Biden is similar in a DeSantis matchup with 31% definitely voting for the incumbent, 12% probably voting for him.

The percentage of voters ruling on Trump was about the same, the poll found. Forty-six percent of those surveyed said they would definitely not vote for Trump if he faced Biden, with another 8% saying they were unlikely to support the former president.

Twenty-nine percent said they would definitely cast their ballot for Trump, and another 12% said they probably would.

Fewer poll participants said they ruled out the possibility of voting for DeSantis or Pence, although both Republicans lag behind Trump and Biden when it comes to enthusiastic supporters.

Forty-one percent said they would definitely not vote for DeSantis over Biden and 11% said they probably would not while 26% said they would definitely support the Florida governor and 16% said they would they probably will.

Thirty-six percent ruled out supporting Pence over Biden, and 18% said they were unlikely to vote for him. Eighteen percent said they would definitely support Pence, and another 22% said they probably would.

Looking strictly at certain and likely support, Biden outspent his hypothetical opponent in all three scenarios: 45% to 41% against Trump, 43% to 42% against DeSantis and 42% to 40% against Pence.

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