The Atlantic Daily: 3 signs that vaccines are doing their job

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As the U.S. government goes full blast with booster shots, here are three ways to tell if COVID-19 vaccines are working.

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Hand holding a COVID-19 vaccine
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The United States government is very much in COVID-19 Boosters. Most people will need one, and soon, officials said today, based on evidence that protection can start to wane in about six months.

It’s sort of true and sort of not, depending on how protection is defined. New data shows that some vaccinated people can get infected by the coronavirus, in particular aggressive transmitters such as the Delta variant– but also that our current round of shots protects dramatically against COVID-19 disease, especially in its worst forms.

Here are three ways to tell if vaccines are doing their job.

We always sail beyond the original posts of the shots.

It is quite possible that vaccine protection against all infections To a slight ebb, and also stand firm against symptomatic disease. Some defensive tasks are more difficult than others. An immune body may not completely prevent a virus from entering the airways, but still prevent an established infection from triggering symptoms and spreading further.

The vaccines “were initially evaluated on their ability to limit the progression of the COVID-19 disease, and when you look at the data, not much has changedRyan McNamara, a virologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, told me.

Post-vaccine infection reports might sound like a bummer after months of being told they would be so rare that those vaccinated could take off our masks. But vaccines don’t need to wipe out every last grain of virus to help end the pandemic, and they always reduce transmission.

Context matters.

Some of the new statistics may seem frightening: People vaccinated, according to reports, account for around 20% of COVID-related hospitalizations in parts of the country, where those numbers were once reliably single digits.

But statistics like these mask another trend. As the percentage of people vaccinated increases, the percentage of hospitalized people vaccinated will also increase.

In a fully vaccinated population, the only people in hospital with COVID-19 will be vaccinated. But there could be only three, compared to hundreds in the absence of inoculations. Consider a rough analogy to car crashes: most of the drivers involved have licenses… because they make up the majority of people on the road.

We cannot lose sight of the group benefits that vaccines offer either.

Much of this week’s buzz has focused on vaccine performance in individuals – who is infected? Who gets sick?

But remember that vaccines protect both the people who receive them and those with which they interact, reducing (if not completely eliminating) infection and transmission. This means that the best way forward is the collective investment in determining who the shots should go to.

Millions of people in the United States, and billions more abroad, have not yet received their photos. Although boosters rely on established protection, administration of the first few doses extends protection more widely. A first hit will always increase someone’s existing defenses by more than a third.

A child sits in a flooded classroom, next to mattresses set up to dry, as heavy rains from Tropical Storm Grace flooded the region on August 17, 2021, in Les Cayes.
Richard Pierrin / Getty

The news in three sentences:

(1) In Afghanistan, Taliban soldiers fired on crowds of protesters, and thousands of people crowded in front of Kabul airport, trying to run away. (2) Rescue work continues in Haiti as the death toll from last weekend’s major earthquake rises to nearly 2000. (3) T-Mobile says that a data breach exposed the personal information of over 40 million people.

What to read if … you are looking for practical advice on how to manage your risk in light of the Delta variant:

Do you have questions about the virus or this pandemic moment? Ask us.


Activity approved tonight by the Atlantic:

Pick your next book. Radiant Fugitives, a new novel set in San Francisco during the Obama era, makes the politics of the late 2000s “anything but boring”.

If you are looking for something different, our summer reading guide is full of recommendations from staff to accompany you throughout August.

A break in the news:

Amazon killed the name Alexa.


Every weekday evening, our editors walk you through the biggest stories of the day, help you discover new ideas and surprise you with moments of fun. Subscribe to receive this delivered to your inbox.

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2/ https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2021/08/three-signs-the-vaccines-are-doing-their-job/619827/

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