What are the chances of another COVID pandemic? Here are the chances

The Coronavirus pandemic upset society in several ways. But what are the chances of such a pandemic happening again?

Will there be another pandemic?

A new statistical study examined the likelihood of another COVID-19 level pandemic occurring in a given year.

• There is a 2% chance of this happening in any given year, depending on in the study.

Over a lifetime, this means that there is an almost 38% chance that people will experience a major pandemic in their lifetime. And it will only get worse with time, the experts said.

• “The most important point to remember is that major pandemics like COVID-19 and spanish flu are relatively likely, ”said William Pan, a global environmental health researcher at Duke University, in A declaration.

How to know if there will be another pandemic

Researchers reviewed historical records of epidemics from the year 1600 to today. In total, they found 476 different epidemics, about half of which have a high death toll.

• However, the researchers did not look at infectious disease pandemics, which excludes pandemics such as COVID-19 or those caused by viruses like HIV or malaria, according to Scientific alert.

What’s the next COVID-19?

The researchers of the A health institute to University of California, Davis created a tool in April 2021 – called Overflow – which classifies a potential virus according to its level of risk for humans.

• Viruses are categorized based on the host, environment, and strength of the virus.

At present, “Coronavirus 229E (strain of bat)” has the highest risk score because it belongs to “the same viral family as SARS-CoV-2 and infects bats in Africa “, according to Fox News.

• “This tool is intended to start a global conversation that will allow us to go far beyond how we thought we would classify viruses in the past and enable real-time scientific collaboration to quickly identify new threats,” said he added. Jonna Mazet, professor at UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine, said in a press release. “SpillOver can help advance our understanding of viral health threats and enable us to take action to reduce the risk of spillovers before pandemics ignite. “