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There are 18 million unvaccinated people in California, according to the state’s Vaccination Information Panel. State health officials say it is these residents who are driving the new surge in Covid-19 cases across the state.
On Wednesday, the California Department of Public Health released numbers showing that, in early July, infection rates among the unvaccinated population were 600% higher than those that had been vaccinated. Furthermore, more than 90% of hospitalized patients in the state are not immunized.
On July 4, the 7-day average number of cases per 100,000 was 4.6. On Wednesday, that number rose to 12.7. After just 24 hours, it rose to 14.2. This rise was driven by the prevalence of a delta variable among the non-vaccinated. In the week of July 14-20, the average case rate among unvaccinated Californians was 20.7 per 100,000 per day. The average case rate among Californians who were vaccinated was much lower at 3.5 per 100,000 per day. This gap is likely to have widened further with the overall average of cases per 100,000 cases having risen significantly since then.
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In terms of initial new cases, Thursday’s case count of 7,457 is the highest number it’s been in five and a half months, since February 10, 2021. It has reached that total even as about 55% of the state’s total population has been vaccinated. .
The state’s test positivity rate – another reliable indicator of prevalence – rose more than 20% in 7 days, from 5.1% to 6.2% on Thursday. On June 15, the day the country scrapped Covid restrictions, it was 0.9%. What’s more, the line on the graph of test positivity test graph is becoming increasingly vertical.
CDPH
Hospitalizations linked to Covid, often called the lag index, have also started to rise. The number is increasing by a few hundred a day, and at 3,977 on Wednesday, that is the highest number in more than four months. Likewise, the ICU bed supply is slowly starting to shrink.
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