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The COP26 climate talks were wrapping up with a global agreement aimed at curbing devastating global warming, as UK organizers hope to reach a final agreement for marathon negotiations on Saturday.
Delegates from nearly 200 countries are tasked with keeping to the 2015 Paris target of limiting temperature rise to 1.5°C, as disasters caused by global warming hit their home countries around the world.
Developing economies led by India have held back from calls for more efforts to reduce emissions without financial support to transition away from fossil fuels and adapt to the accelerating effects of climate change.
The deadline for the conclusion of the two-week talks came as key figures of the session swooped in for what they hoped would be the last time, urging each other to cooperate on behalf of the people threatened by the climate crisis around the world.
Summit organizers confirmed that the draft of the new audit text would not be published until early Saturday in Glasgow.
“I envision holding formal plenary sessions in the afternoon to adopt resolutions and conclude the session on Saturday,” said Cop26 President Alok Sharma.
EU Commission Vice-President, Frans Timmermans, said: “If we fail, [my one-year-old grandson] He will fight with other humans for water and food. This is the stark reality we face. So 1.5C is about avoiding an unlivable future for our children and grandchildren.”
John Kerry, the US climate envoy, said: “We think this is something that exists, and for many of you, it is there today. People are dying today.”
The head of the delegation of Tuvalu, an island in the Pacific Ocean, exclaimed when he warned that his country was sinking under the waves. The representative of Kenya warned that an average temperature rise of 1.5 degrees Celsius worldwide was likely to equate to 3 degrees Celsius in many parts of Africa, a rise that would cause frequent heat waves and devastating droughts.
Earlier on Friday, the United Kingdom, as the host country for the talks, distributed a second draft text of the results. This included a decision for countries to begin phasing out “relentless” coal energy and “inefficient” fossil fuel subsidies, and asking countries to return to the negotiating table next year to advance their national plans on reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Whether and how countries will review those national plans – known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) – is now at the center of the talks. Research by Climate Action Tracker, an analyst organization earlier this week, found that the NDCs made by countries in Glasgow would result in at least 2.4°C of heating, a catastrophic level.
Some countries have tried to argue that a NDC review next year runs counter to the Paris Agreement, which requires such reviews only every five years. But the three architects of the Paris Agreement – Laurent Fabius, the French foreign minister who presided over the talks; Lawrence Tubiana, Chief Diplomat; Christiana Figueres, the UN climate official at the time – told the Guardian the treaty allowed for a faster return and called on countries to return to the negotiating table next year with adjustments in line with 1.5°C.
This provision for next year’s amendment, the current paragraph 29 of the second draft text of the findings, is likely to be one of the most hotly debated clauses in the closing stages. Other problems, however, remain, still the subject of Sharma’s frantic shuttle diplomacy.
These sticking points include:
Developing countries’ concerns about overlooking their financial needs to adapt to the effects of the climate crisis. They want to at least double the funding available for adaptation, and they want to open discussions about how to significantly increase the $100 billion per year climate finance, from public and private sources, that they promised in 2009 for delivery from 2020, but according to current estimates it will not be fulfilled. Until 2023.
Loss and damage The term impacts of the climate crisis is too severe for countries to prepare for or adapt to. The bloc of developing countries that includes the Group of 77 and China – which represent 85% of humanity – is very unhappy about the current plans for this topic, which they see as compensation for climate catastrophes on which rich countries have a moral obligation. Guinea, speaking on behalf of the bloc, wants to create a “Loss and Damage Facility”, likely to mean an actual fund rather than a measure to work toward one.
Article 6 of the Paris Agreement deals with carbon trade. Some countries want to use carbon offsets to offset some of their emissions reduction commitments, but others fear the proposed rules will lead to an outpouring of cheap carbon credits that do not represent real emissions reductions.
Controversies over how countries measure and report greenhouse gas emissions. These provisions are known as transparency and accountability provisions, and are also considered crucial because some countries are suspected of under-reporting their emissions.
Jennifer Morgan, Executive Director of Greenpeace International, said commitments on fossil fuels in the current text are too weak and should be strengthened. But she added: “There is language here worth sticking with, and the UK presidency will have to struggle brilliantly to preserve the most ambitious elements of the deal. We have gone from rich nations largely ignoring developing countries’ calls for promised funding to tackle climate change, to the beginnings of recognition The necessity of meeting their demands. Now we need the developed countries to expand their offer of support and funding.”
“The negotiators in Glasgow simply have to seize the moment and agree on something historic, but they need to isolate the governments that have come here to smash progress and listen instead to the calls of young people and weak states,” she added.
Tracey Carty, head of the COP26 delegation at Oxfam, said: “Targets to cut emissions over the next decade are heading towards climate catastrophe. We need an unequivocal deal in Glasgow that commits governments to return next year, and every year after that, with improved targets. That would keep the 1.5-degree target alive. This is the final countdown. The negotiators must return to the negotiating table armed with commitments equivalent to the challenge millions of people around the world face every day.”
Tasnim Esop, Executive Director of the Climate Action Network, said it is imperative that Cope takes concrete decisions to alleviate the suffering of millions of people around the world to deal with the dual effects of the Covid virus and climate breakdown.
“We will continue to fight for this because this is the true test of Cop26’s success,” she said.
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