Controversial prediction site claims massive 7.0 or higher earthquake expected any moment?

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The controversial website EarthquakePrediction claims that a 7.0-magnitude earthquake could hit California in the next 48 hours.

By Nathan Kamal | Posted 29 minutes ago

The controversial website EarthquakePrediction claims that a strong earthquake of at least 7.0 magnitude could occur in central California within the next 48 hours, according to its Twitter account. Earthquake prediction is widely considered by the scientific community to be alarming and unfounded in its tendency to issue independent and highly sensational earthquake alerts. Many media sources also criticize the site and warn against taking an earthquake warning from it seriously.

In the Twitter post above, the earthquake alert warns of a high probability of an event of 7.0 or higher on the Richter scale (which basically measures the amount of energy released along a fault line, rather than destructive potential). The images indicate that it may occur northwest of Los Angeles and southeast of the San Francisco Bay, which is about 350 miles across.

In the event of such an earthquake, the alert would be extraordinarily useful to the citizens in the area. The recent 5.4-magnitude earthquake in Humboldt County, California, was enough to send shockwaves around an area of ​​at least nine miles; This event does not appear to have been predicted by EarthquakePrediction. However, the Twitter account sent out an alert that a magnitude 6.5 earthquake event is likely to occur between December 25-28 of 2022 in the same area it is currently forecasting. This did not happen.

The EarthquakePrediction program appears to be run by Luke Holmquist (mentioned in some media as Luke Thomas), who admits that he has no scientific background and that the vast majority of scientists disagree with his findings and methodology. According to Holmquist, Earthquake Alert is created through his research into “thermal temperature changes, very low frequency sounds or ULFs, small earthquakes, animal behavior, human behavior, moon phases, seismic gaps, and satellite seismic clouds.” On the website, EarthquakePrediction states several times that it is not affiliated with the USGS, the government agency that monitors and analyzes earthquakes.

According to Holmquist (via Alaska News Source):

if [people] Afraid, they should look at the 99 percent of people out there in the scientific community who disagree with me. If you want to feel comfortable, listen to them. If you want to see the latest earthquake predictions, take it with a grain of salt or see how accurate it is.

However, it is fair to note that California is particularly known for its seismic activity, largely due to the geological structure known as the San Andreas Fault System. In fact, it’s very likely that there will be a very large earthquake in that general area of ​​California sometime in the next 30 years, according to actual USGS data. Depending on the timing, that could actually make Earthquake Alert an accurate earthquake forecast at some point, though the scientists would likely indicate, not from their own research.

All this being said, earthquakes are a very destructive and dangerous natural phenomenon that cannot be accurately predicted by anyone, not even Dwayne Johnson.

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