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Scientists may have taken an important step toward predicting earthquakes, according to a recent study published in Science on July 20.
By analyzing GPS time-series data from nearly 100 major earthquakes worldwide, they revealed evidence of a possible precursor phase that occurs two hours before a seismic rupture occurs.
2 hours warning before earthquakes
“If it is confirmed that earthquake intensification often involves a preliminary phase of hours, and the means can be developed to measure it reliably, a precursor warning can be issued,” Roland Borgmann said in a press release.
The ability to predict earthquakes has always been a challenge. Short-term earthquake forecasting aims to issue warnings from minutes to months in advance of an earthquake – these warnings are based on specific and observable geophysical precursor signals.
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