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The area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico, which is currently unregulated, especially along the Gulf Coast, should be monitored until the end of next week.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said: “The subsequent slow development of this system is possible because it is skewed northwest to north.
Currently, there is only a 20% chance of it developing into something tropical over the next five days, according to the NHC, and a 30% chance of it developing over the next seven days according to other forecasters.
This potential storm is developing very slowly in European and American computer forecasting models.
But it’s worth watching, especially by midweek along the Gulf Coast, where both models hint at a northward path with the system.
If those forecasts hold, it will likely make this the first storm of the 2021 season to affect the United States.
“The location of this potential low pressure is very much in line with what we consider a typical June formation zone,” says Chad Myers, a meteorologist at CNN.
If this storm happened for a name, it would be called Bill. We already had Anna, who formed near Bermuda on May 22.
CPC predicts another above-average hurricane season
The Climate Prediction Center is predicting another busy year in the Atlantic basin. They expect anywhere between 13-20 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes – which is category 3 or higher.
In an average season, we see 14 specific storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
The 2020 season was unprecedented. We had 30 identified storms with 11 of those making landfall in the United States. It was fourteen hurricanes and they became seven major hurricanes.
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
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