The best tennis bets on August 11th

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The North American hardcourt swing will continue this week in Toronto, where the Rogers Cup, Masters 1000, will be held. It’s one of the biggest regular season tournaments of the year with so many ranking points, and the field is completely stacked. Let’s start Wednesday’s bets.

Kei Nishikori (-105) vs. Hubert Hurkacz (-118)

As we’ve seen with Mackenzie McDonald and Jannik Sinner this week, fatigue is a very real factor in tennis. A long loop in the previous week can shorten your stay in next week’s tournament, and Nishikori may well be the next victim.

The Japanese have already had some fitness needs this year as tournaments run out, and when it comes to a very physical battle with the aforementioned McDonald in Washington last week and the first round of three-series winner Miomir Kecmanovic, he should be gassed for Wednesday’s procedure. His mission is to face long, awesome striker Hubert Hurkacz, who has brought his best tennis to the Masters 1000 and Grand Slam tournaments this year and who should move Nishikori around the field.

Hurkacz found his memorable form at Wimbledon and reached an exceptional semi-finals, but after losing to the amazingly formal Liam Broad in the Olympics, it looks like the odds have already barked at him on that line.

I’m not worried about the Polish going back to the player he led to Wimbledon with such high stakes. He has previously raised his level with prize money and investment points at his highest, and he should do so here against the weary Nishikor. It doesn’t matter that Hurkacz is 2-0 in a lifetime series.

Edge: Hurkacz -118

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Gael Monfils (+127) vs. John Millman (-157)

You’ll definitely remember Gael Monfils, a fan favorite who set the tennis world on fire last spring. Well, we haven’t just heard from him since. He took a long break when the pandemic stopped running, and getting back to start has been a constant struggle. He has won just three of 13 matches this year, but in his defense almost all of his opponents have been in the Top 100.

It’s not a big excuse when you’re a world-class player like Monfils, but it’s a little easier to accept his recent form, with a lot of close, three-round losses to great players. John Millman should, in fact, represent one of Monfils ’easiest tests to date, and when a Frenchman has so many lines, the cards can have a big run.

There is no world where Millman, who is undoubtedly as bad as Monfils, should be a favorite like this. He is 14-18 years old and loses to Ricardas Berankis, which is not the hardest test. Monfils ’defense and brilliant imagination really test Millman’s ability to come up with big winners that he’s not known for.

Monfils has achieved at least the eighth round of the last three Rogers Cups he has played, with two semi-finals. He feels at home in Canada, and I expect him to produce a high level for the first time in a while.

Edge: Monfils +127

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