NHL 2022-23 Stanley Cup playoff chances and estimated standings

Welcome to our NHL Predictions & Odds page, where you can find each team’s estimated points, their odds of making the playoffs, and their odds of advancing to each of the next rounds, including winning the Stanley Cup.

Predictions are based on 50,000 simulations over the course of the rest of the season, factoring in each team’s projected strength, current health, and strength of schedule (which includes opponent strength, slot, and rest). Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on its roster based on Game Score Valued Added (GSVA) ​​and can be found at the bottom of the article along with a link to team depth charts that include projected GSVAs for each. player. You can read more about GSVA and the model here.

This page is updated every morning. Click to expand any chart for a larger view.

All predictions and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated: February 24, 2023 at 10:20 am EST

Predicted rankings

Division opportunities

Playoff chances

Probability of first choice

Depth charts

The odds listed above are based on each team’s expected winning percentage. To take a closer look at how each team is currently rated and why, you can view each team’s depth chart in sections from the links below. Depth charts are updated weekly and reflect current injuries. Depth charts include the projected value of each player. You can find their true value for this season here.

Atlantic | Metropolitan | Central | Pacific

Player cards

Atlantic: VSP, BUF, DET, FLA, MTL, OTT, TBL, TOR

Metropolitan: CAR, CBJ, NJD, NNI, NYR, PHI, PIT, WSH

Medium: YES, CHI, COL, DAL, MIN, NSH, STL, WPG

Pacific: ANA, CGY, EDM, LAK, SJS, SEA, VAN, VGK