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It’s now part of the budget calendar: the tax advisory boards’ criticism of the government’s budget projections and the government’s shrugging response. Maybe it’s a bit harsh, the government has heeded the council’s calls for new, more transparent estimates of its future spending plans.
However, the council’s long-standing complaint that the government consistently exceeds its own spending targets with tax revenues that could ultimately disappear, holds up.
The last letter from the watchdogs contains two other elements. First, he sees the government’s revised fiscal strategy, described in the summer’s economic statement, as too risky and potentially inflationary.
In July, the government abandoned plans to gradually move towards a balanced budget by 2025 in favor of a series of budget deficits to finance larger current and capital spending in a number of areas, including housing. and green infrastructure.
The additional spending and the resulting high debt ratios would leave public finances more exposed to shocks, especially from unexpected growth deficits, the council said.
Backfire
He also warned that borrowing and increased spending during a strong recovery could backfire, causing prices to accelerate if capacity constraints, especially in the construction sector, were to be felt.
The second element of his critiques focuses on governments’ pledges to effectively expand public services, increase public investment, and reduce taxes at the same time. This avoids making difficult choices and makes public finances more vulnerable to growth deficits or higher interest rates, said Ifac President Sebastian Barnes.
This will sting, because the Fine Gael likes to present itself as the party of budgetary discipline and frequently criticizes Sinn Fin for its eccentric budget calculations. The council is effectively saying that the government is offering us the moon and the sun without the hope of hell.
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