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Nearly 40% of Republicans said they are likely to blame vote fraud if their party doesnt win control of Congress in November, outnumbering Democrats who said theyd feel the same.
A new Axios-Ipsos Two Americas Index Poll indicated Republicans are far more likely to blame fraud amid election losses but that only 25% of Democrats said theyre likely to point to fraud as an explanation for losing a majority in Congress. Overall, Democrats were more likely to dismiss the idea of fraud playing into the midterm elections.
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More than half, 60%, of Democrats said it is unlikely fraud would cause their party to lose in November, with another 15% saying they werent sure, the poll showed. Only 36% of Republicans said fraud is unlikely to be the reason for losses, with 26% saying they dont know if it would be a factor.
The survey also found that voters who have shared at least one meal with someone from the opposite party in the last month are less likely to jump to conclusions that election fraud caused their losses.
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“When you have connections across the aisle with other people, youre less likely to give into or even entertain some of the ‘crazy,'” said Chris Jackson, pollster and senior vice president for Ipsos. “There are so few of those connections remaining, and that lack of connection contributes the space for people to believe the Big Lie and that elections are going to be stolen and all those kinds of things. Because theyre believing it about someone theyve never met.
The Axios-Ipsos poll surveyed 1,004 adults between Sept. 28-29 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
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