China’s Xi Jinping urges the West not to ‘hit the brakes’ on raising interest rates too quickly

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Chinese President Xi Jinping on Monday called on the world’s major economies to stimulate growth by coordinating policies as the world continues to emerge from the turmoil caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

“Global industrial and supply chains are disrupted, commodity prices continue to rise, and energy supplies are tight. These risks are superimposed on each other, increasing the uncertainty of economic recovery.” tell attendees In a speech delivered online by the World Economic Forum 2022.

He warned against the impact of raising interest rates too quickly, saying such measures could threaten global financial stability.

“If major economies hit the brakes or turn around on monetary policy, there will be serious negative spillover effects,” Xi said. “They will pose challenges to the global economy and financial stability, and developing countries will bear the brunt.”

Many global policymakers are grappling with rising inflationary pressures and beginning to end pandemic-era stimulus.

The Federal Reserve last month signaled it could raise interest rates three times in 2022, while the European Central Bank announced it would end its crisis-era bond-buying program in March. The Bank of England raised interest rates last month, becoming the first major bank to do so since the pandemic began. Central banks in Eastern Europe and Latin America have also aggressively raised interest rates to cool inflation.

But as the economy slows, China, the only major economy to grow in 2020, has taken a different tack and grappled with the challenge of maintaining momentum, while sticking to its zero Covid-19 strategy, a strict lockdown of areas to prevent outbreaks policy. Cut off the country from most of the world.

China's economy grows 8.1% in 2021, but growth slows

People’s Bank of China has Been loosening the wallet to keep things running smoothly.

On Monday, the central bank cut its key interest rate for the first time since April 2020. Last month, it cut both the reserve requirement ratio, which determines how much cash banks must hold, and the lending prime rate, or the commercial rate banks lend to their best customers, and serves as a benchmark for other loans.

Beijing’s latest measures come as the country reported an 8.1% growth in its economy in 2021.While the figure exceeded the government’s own target, growth slowed to half that rate The final quarter of the year is expected to be tougher due to the Covid-19 pandemic and a deepening housing crisis.

Chinese government economists have been warning of the spillover effects of the Fed raising interest rates.

Zhu Baoliang, chief economist at the China State Information Center, a government policy think tank, told the Central Bank-Backed Financial News The country needs to monitor and possibly prevent any financial crisis triggered by Fed rate hikes.

“Historically, the Fed’s rate hikes have repeatedly triggered financial and economic crises in other countries,” Zhu told the paper, adding that the imbalance could lead to foreign capital fleeing China.

Global investment has poured into Chinese bonds over the past year as investors chased relatively lucrative returns in the Chinese market. Strong capital inflows have contributed to the outperformance of the renminbi, which is one of the best performing currencies in 2021.

Zhu also called attention to the dollar-denominated bond market for Chinese companies, which he noted was rapidly expanding. Many companies in China’s troubled real estate sector hold dollar-denominated bonds; if they become more expensive to repay, that could cause more trouble.

Yang Shuiqing, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and a top government think tank wrote In an article on the official news portal China.com, the Fed may also raise interest rates U.S. demand has slowed, affecting exports from China, America’s largest trading partner.
Davos survey finds global experts very worried about future

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund warned that a sudden tightening of monetary policy in the United States or Europe could lead to economic turmoil in developing economies.

“Emerging economies should brace for potential economic turmoil” as the Fed accelerates policy tightening, the IMF wrote in a report. write a blog last week.

U.S. views on growth and inflation shift as prices rise, IMF writes at the fastest pace in nearly four years.

At the same time, the economic recovery in emerging countries has not been as strong, adding that these places are facing “significant increases in public debt”.

“Fed responds with faster rate hikes [to inflation] That could roil financial markets and tighten global financial conditions, the IMF said, warning of slowing U.S. demand and trade and its impact on developing economies that rely on exports to U.S. consumers.

Fed Economist Written last June The risk of spillovers to emerging markets depends on several factors, including conditions in these regions and their vulnerability and susceptibility to U.S. rate hikes.

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/18/economy/china-xi-davos-warning-interest-rate-intl-hnk/index.html

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