Who will vote for Donald Trump in 2024? Here’s how much he supports Utah

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Half of Utahans will vote or consider voting for Donald Trump if he runs for president in 2024.

And 48% of Beehive State residents have a favorable opinion on the former president who continues to claim voter fraud drove him to the 2020 election.

A new poll by the Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics found that 24% of registered voters in the state will definitely vote for Trump in 2024. Another 26% would consider voting for him.

But 46% say they will not cast their ballot for Trump, while 4% do not know, according to the survey.

“Although Utahns as a whole are divided over the former president, he still has strong support from his conservative Republican base and a large portion are willing to vote for him in 2024 if it becomes a possibility,” Jason Perry said. , director of Hinckley. Institute of Politics at the University of Utah.

Dan Jones & Associates conducted the poll on 812 registered voters in Utah in Nov. 18-30. It has a margin of error plus or minus 3.44 percentage points.

Among those in the survey who identified themselves as Republicans, 39% would vote for Trump, while 34% would consider voting for him. Only 23% of Utah Republican voters said they would not vote for him in 2024.

Of those survey respondents who considered themselves “very conservative,” 53% would mark their ballot for the former president.

While a portion of Utah Republican voters say they are behind Trump, Democrats and non -affiliated voters are not. The poll found that 91% of voters who identified themselves as Democrats and 62% who were not affiliated with any political party did not vote for Trump.

“Utahans are ready to turn the page from the divisive and hateful rhetoric that Trump and his cronies are embodying, especially now that we see Joe Biden managing the kind of stable, responsible, measurable leadership that he deserves. in America from a president, ”a Utah Democratic Party spokesman said in response to the poll results.

“Moreover, nearly half of Utahns will not support Trump if he runs in 2024, because they know that the way to cope with the challenges we face is by moving our country forward, not backward.”

Past polls by the Deseret News/Hinckley Institute have found that Utahans are divided on how much Trump should blame for the deadly attack on the U.S. Capitol and whether he should be convicted by the Senate for inciting an insurrection.

Investigators, experts, and courts have found no widespread fraud in the 2020 election that Trump and his supporters claim existed after he defeated Biden. But the former Republican president has relentlessly pushed the false narrative as he stirred up rumors about another run for the presidency.

Demographics

If he was on the 2024 ticket, Trump would be better on the men than the women in Utah.

The poll found that only 19% of women would vote for her, while 53% would not. Of the men, 28% would choose Trump, while 40% would not. The rest of the same group will consider voting for him or not.

In 2016, members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Utah’s dominant religion, rejected Trump for a Republican state. He became better with church members in 2020.

Given the opportunity in 2024, 25% of survey respondents who identify themselves as “very active” Latter-day Saints will definitely vote for Trump, 30% will consider him and 40% will not vote for to him. Of the “relatively active” church members, 25% would definitely vote for Trump, 37% would consider him and 32% would not vote for the former president.

The survey found that Utahans are evenly divided on what they currently think about Trump-48% have a favorable opinion of him, while 48% have a unfavorable opinion, including 40% with a very bad opinion of the former president.

“Every president since Reagan has seen a bump in their approvals in their last months in office. Like many other political norms, Trump is the exception,” Perry said.

Trump won Utah in 2020 with 58% of the vote. But he came out of the White House with the lowest approval rating of his presidency nationwide and the lowest in Utah. When Trump left office, his favor with Utahns dropped to 49% after being in the mid -50s for most of his final year.

After about a year, he stays there.

“Almost a year after he left office, Donald Trump’s approval numbers in Utah were very poor,” the Utah Democratic Party said.

And, of course, more Democratic voters in the state. The poll shows 89% have a very unpleasant impression of Trump.

While Utahns are generally divided on Trump, they are less about Biden. The results of the Deseret News/Hinckley Institute poll released earlier this week showed 63% disagree with the work he does as president.

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