Republicans Considered Continuing to Hold Their Party

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NEW ORLEANS

Former U.S. President Donald Trump recently spoke to 15,000 enthusiastic supporters in Arizona, making his first major public appearance since the one-year anniversary of the Jan. 6 insurgency at the U.S. Capitol that sought to keep him in office despite defeat in the 2020 presidential election.

In 93 minutes of statements late Saturday, Trump reiterated the false claim that the election was stolen from him and predicted a Republican victory in the 2024 presidential contest, indicating what observers assume in politics: that he was planning a bid to return to the White house.

Trump is expected to hold more rallies in the months before the midterm elections in November that will define control in Congress for the last two years of President Joe Bidens ’tenure. In state after state, Trump intends to strengthen the fortunes of Republicans seeking office loyal to him and repeat his claims.

A supporter dressed as Uncle Sam listened to speakers before former President Donald Trump addressed a rally in January. 15, 2022, in Florence, Ariz.

Voters are paying attention.

He will remain a factor in American politics for the next few terms of the presidency, Robert Ellis, a New Orleans -based lawyer who voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 elections, told VOA. And he must remain a factor. He got results while president, and when we see Bidens ’failures, we see Donald Trump more right.

Conversely, many moderate Republicans and independent voters who are often crucial in the upcoming election are unsure that former presidents continue to politicize is good for the country or the Republican Party.

Chelsea Jaramillo, a businessman in Denver, is an independent voter.

Honestly, I believe his presence is offensive to the Republican party, he said. Even many Republicans seem tired of his bull —- all the hatred and blame that doesn’t benefit anyone but him.

Trumps supporters

In his remarks Saturday, the former president attacked his Democratic successors for handling the coronavirus pandemic, the U.S. economy and international affairs. He also excitedly targeted some Republican lawmakers who voted with Democrats to impeach him after the Capitol unrest and either announced that they would not re-elect or face the uneven road to stay in office.

They fell quickly and were furious. Those who voted to impeach, are quickly getting rid of them, Trump said.

Robert Collins, professor of Urban Studies and Public Policy at Dillard University in New Orleans, said the speech was less surprising.

It’s a lot of the same thing from him, he says. But where this has been interesting to me, can you hear that most are excited when they find out Trump is talking about running again as president in 2024.

A recent Marquette Law School Poll found that 60% of Republican voters believe he should run again for president in 2024.

That’s more than enough voters to win the Republican nomination, Collins said, so it’s a real possibility if he decides to run.

Brandon Legnion, a nurse based in New Orleans, is open to the idea. His priorities, he said, include the issue of abortion and how America is handling the pandemic.

I don’t believe vaccines and masking are anti-freedom like many other conservatives seem to believe, he told VOA, but I think Republican voters are more likely to listen to Trump rather than to Biden when it comes in solidarity in the fight against COVID-19. Id probably vote for him if he runs in 2024.

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While a large majority of Republican voters say they will vote for Donald Trump if he secures the party’s presidential nomination, some say they hope another candidate will appear to lead the party.

Independent, patriotic attitudes, and his work on border control, jobs and our economy, have all earned him a leading voice in our party, said Republican voter Jerry Bell of Indiana, but thinks I must have a new presidential torchbearer in 2024 New blood to restore our conservative view of management to make America Great!

A poll at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst conducted Dec. 14-20 showed that 71% of Republicans mistakenly believe the election of Joe Biden was illegitimate a controversy often referred to by Trump critics as The Big Lie .

Trump addressed the label directly in Arizona on Saturday, opening the rally by declaring, The Big Lie is a lot of bull —-, to wild applause from racous crowd.

Legnion sees focusing on the past as counterproductive.

Its time to move on, he said. Continuing to beat past elections to death is not all unity for America. Helps or hurts?

Whether the former president and his obsession with the 2020 election will help the Republican Party in the midterms and in the next presidential election is a matter of ongoing debate among experts, politicians and voters.

The political party of sitting presidents almost always loses the House of Representatives in midterm elections in their first term, explains Robert Collins of Dillard University. So regardless of Trumps participation, you can bet everything you have is going to happen this year.

The Senate is less certain, he said.

While every seat in the House is ready for election every two years, only one-third of the Senate is, Collins said. And among those, it is likely that only five to eight of those seats will be competitive elections. The impact of Trumps is more likely to be felt there.

The dominant thinking among experts like Collins is that while Trump may create chaos and vote voters for Republican candidates loyal to him, some of those candidates including some he praised at the rally in Arizona could struggle to win the states and swing districts. a more moderate electorate.

I’m not against Donald Trump supporting midterm candidates, said Ronald Robichaux of Tampa, Florida, who said he voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020, but I’m afraid to draw out voting irregularities that so far have not basis and it may cause some. voters off. He didn’t seem to be able to bury the ax.

Collins suggested that fewer bombs from Trump would help for his political destiny and that of Republicans in a broader way.

People seem to forget that when Trumps are involved, elections tend to be an up or down vote on Trump, he explained. If I was working on his campaign, Id spend time trying to rehabilitate his image and reign him in. But based on Saturdays speech, that doesn’t seem to be their strategy, he said.

Collins added, So if you’re a candidate running for office in the midterms, all you can do now is decide if you want to keep your distance from Trump, or if you want to embrace him.

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